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We propose a model to compute short-term forecasts of the Euro area GDP growth in real-time. To allow for forecast evaluation, we construct a real-time data set that changes for each vintage date and includes the exact information that was available at the time of each forecast. In this context,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218452
In this paper, the author uses classical and modern econometric methods for the modeling of the economic growth rate dynamics in Romania, during the period 1990-2004. The output of this analysis is an econometric model that describes the dynamics of the economic growth process in Romania during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014222306
The literature on finance and economic growth establishes that a deregulated financial system increases economic growth in the long run. Mexican financial institutions have endured through two great stages: regulation until 1988 and liberalization after this date until today. Under this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014224558
This paper examines the dynamic causal relationships between foreign direct investment (FDI), trade and economic growth in India by applying the bounds testing (ARDL) approach to cointegration for the period from 1970 to 2012. The bounds tests suggest that the variables of interest are bound...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014151902
This paper tries to assess the relationship between disaggregate energy production and real aggregate income in Italy by undertaking cointegration analyses using annual data from 1883 to 2009. After a brief introduction, a survey of the economic literature on this issue is shown, before...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014153246
This paper investigates the Keynesian Relations and Education Expenditure in Saudi Arabia during the period (1970-2012) for real Oil GDP and Non Oil GDP. Keynesian Relations investigated that fundamental economic growth is validity to the education growth. In the previous studies have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014156512
This paper analyzes the impact of international oil prices on Thailand’s industrial production using Johansen cointegration test. The results show that U.S. dollar real exchange rate does not affect the economy’s industrial production index, while oil prices and real money supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014157205
This paper provides empirical evidence supporting the interaction between fertility, education and economic growth through the underlying mechanism behind that correlation in accordance with Becker's theory. In consistency with the theory, the key explanatory variables in Tunisia's fertility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014163528
The sustainable development goals (SDGs) are intended to be attained as a balanced whole. But the significant interactions (the synergies and trade-offs) between the SDGs have caused the need, especially in developing economies, to identify and pursue them in line with their peculiar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014240705
The empirical debate on the role of international tourism on local economic growth is inconclusive and is characterized by two main opposing views: the Tourism-led economic growth hypothesis and the Economy-driven tourism growth hypothesis. The objective of the study was to establish the role of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014240884