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countries? (2) How well do forecasters predict recessions? (3) Are forecasts efficient and unbiased? (4) How does private sector …? Two key results emerge. First, the record of failure to predict recessions is virtually unblemished. Second, there is high …
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investigate: (i) if rigidities are lower around turning points in the economy, such as in times of recessions and crises; (ii) if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009151222
Over several decades, the relative rise of consumer durables manufacturing and the relative decline of consumer nondurables manufacturing in the Fifth District may have hindered the region's ability to weather the recession of 2007-09. Decomposing the Fifth District Survey of Manufacturing...
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The slow recovery following the 2008/2009 recession has led to renewed interest in the question whether deep recessions … to large recessions. The test has more power than conventional unit root tests. We find that positive and negative shocks …
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Japan has suffered from sluggish economic growth and recession since the early 1990s. In this paper, we analyze the causes of the prolonged slowdown of the Japanese economy (the lost decade). Economics Nobel laureate Paul Krugman has argued that Japan's lost decade is an example of a liquidity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011407566
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