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Rounding of probability forecasts : the SPF forecast probabilities of negative output growth
Clements, Michael P. (contributor) - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003764456
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Do professional forecasters pay attention to data releases?
Clements, Michael P. - 2011
We present a novel approach to assessing the attentiveness of professional forecasters to news about the macroeconomy. We find evidence that professional forecasters, taken as a group, do not always update their estimates of the current state of the economy to reflect the latest releases of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008822980
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Probability distributions or point predictions? : survey forecasts of US output growth and inflation
Clements, Michael P. - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009502370
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Forecasting US output growth with non-linear models in the presence of data uncertainty
Clements, Michael P. - In: Studies in nonlinear dynamics and econometrics : SNDE ; … 16 (2012) 1, pp. 1-25
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009521680
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Subjective and ex post forecast uncertainty : US inflation and output growth
Clements, Michael P. - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618587
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Forecast uncertainty : ex ante and ex post ; US inflation and output growth
Clements, Michael P. - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 32 (2014) 2, pp. 206-216
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010488569
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Do professional forecasters pay attention to data releases?
Clements, Michael P. - In: International journal of forecasting 28 (2012) 2, pp. 297-308
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581932
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Do forecasters target first or later releases of national accounts data?
Clements, Michael P. - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 4, pp. 1240-1249
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305258
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Assessing the evidence of macro-forecaster herding : forecasts of inflation and output growth
Clements, Michael P. - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010440259
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Uncertainty and disagreement in economic prediction : the Bank of England survey of external forecasters
Boero, Gianna; Smith, Jeremy; Wallis, Kenneth Frank - In: The economic journal : the journal of the Royal … 118 (2008), pp. 1107-1127
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003741504