Der Beitrag analysiert die Argentinien-Krise, vergleicht die makroökonomische Entwicklung von Argentinien, Brasilien, Chile und Mexiko seit der Mexiko-Krise und entwickelt Indikatoren zur Beurteilung der Entwicklungschancen dieser Länder. Für Argentinien wie für Brasilien, Chile und Mexiko...

[This paper reexamines the question of the India's growth takeoff using newer data and time series analysis. By carefully accounting for structural breaks and stationarity issues and using a longer times series, we address the lacuna in previous econometric investigations into the Indian...

Current account deficit has become a common phenomenon in both developed and developing countries. Although there is a plethora of perspective towards the current account deficit-economic growth nexus, there is still no consensus on the impact and direction of causality. This study seeks to...

This paper surveys the literature to document the main stylized facts, risks, and policy challenges related to the expansion of global nonfinancial corporate debt after the 2008–09 global financial crisis. Nonfinancial corporate debt steadily increased after the crisis, especially in emerging...

Are IMF growth forecasts systematically optimistic? And if so, what is the role of planned policy adjustments on this outcome? Are program forecasts as biased as surveillance forecasts? We try to answer these questions using a comprehensive database on IMF forecasts of economic growth in...

The aim of the study was to examine the macroeconomic determinants of capital flight from the Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries between the period 1981-2015. The study used secondary data obtained from the World Bank Development Indicators (WDI) and applied the autoregressive distributed lag...

The experience of the EFSD in the last 10 years has raised important questions about the developmental role an RFA could play for low income or less-developed countries. Even though other RFAs do not have a development mandate, the EFSD’s operational model inspires the RFAs to reflect on their...

A lot of attention has been directed towards recent financial crises around the world and empirical studies have found that short-term flows increase financial fragility and also increase the probability of financial crises. This study takes a macro-oriented approach and shows that while large...

In this paper we study the interactions and feedbacks between three categories of net capital flows and growth in the Turkish economy for the 1992:01-2009:01 period using frequency domain techniques. Our main spectral analysis tool is a new version of the causality test of Geweke (1982) and...

This paper evaluates the sustainability of large current account imbalances in the era when the Chinese GDP growth rate and current account/GDP exceed 10%. We investigate the size distribution and the durability of current account deficits during 1966-2005, and report the results of a simulation...