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individuals and households. -- Great Moderation ; inventories ; monetary policy ; volatility …We review evidence on the Great Moderation together with evidence about volatility trends at the micro level to develop … a potential explanation for the decline in aggregate volatility since the 1980s and its consequences. The key elements …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003781571
We review evidence on the Great Moderation together with evidence about volatility trends at the micro level to develop … a potential explanation for the decline in aggregate volatility since the 1980s and its consequences. The key elements … are declines in firm-level volatility and aggregate volatility - most dramatically in the durable goods sector - but with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723678
inflation and inflation volatility. Using annual data from 1970 to 2011 for a large panel of 180 developed and developing … economies, the results show that, as expected, both measures are positively correlated with output volatility. When the two … empirical findings show that the effect of inflation volatility is positive, while the effect of trend inflation is negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010346738
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003810169
"We review evidence on the Great Moderation in conjunction with evidence about volatility trends at the micro level. We … combine the two types of evidence to develop a tentative story for important components of the aggregate volatility decline … and its consequences. The key ingredients are declines in firm-level volatility and aggregate volatility -- most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003725078
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011484704
This paper uses a multivariate filter and a production function to project potential growth inColombia, modeling in detail the impact of low oil prices on investment. The framework alsocaptures the impact of current and planned policies on potential growth, including the peaceagreement with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942332
This paper describes the methodology used in the OECD Economics Department to produce historical estimates and short-run projections of potential output. These estimates are used mainly in the OECD Economic Outlook, in country surveys and as starting point for long-run scenarios. Total-economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012111102
We study Switzerland's 1990s growth weakness through the lens of the business cycle accounting framework by Chari, Kehoe, and McGrattan (2007). Our main result is that weak productivity growth cannot account for the experienced stagnation. Rather, the stagnation is explained by factors that made...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011961309
This paper estimates the effects of tax changes on the U.K. economy. Identification is achieved by isolating the "exogenous" tax policy shocks in the post-war U.K. economy using a narrative strategy as in Romer and Romer (2010). The resulting tax changes are shown to be unforecastable on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009124174