This paper investigates the relationship between the Great Moderation and two measures of inflation performance: trend … inflation and inflation volatility. Using annual data from 1970 to 2011 for a large panel of 180 developed and developing … empirical findings show that the effect of inflation volatility is positive, while the effect of trend inflation is negative …

below the pre-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than … anticipated, suggesting a breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 … find that the effect of unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s but has …

-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation,for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then …

The uncertainty of U.S. core inflation, measured by the stochastic volatility of forecast errors, has soared to a level … increase after a positive shock to core inflation uncertainty in a vector autoregression. Endogenous changes in household … inflation expectations help to understand the transmission mechanism through which an inflation uncertainty shock generates …

We use Bayesian additive regression trees to reexamine the efficiency of growth and inflation forecasts for Germany. To …-term growth and longer-term inflation forecasts. We cannot reject weak efficiency of short-term growth and inflation forecasts. We …

This paper investigates the relationship between the Great Moderation and two measures of inflation performance: trend … inflation and inflation volatility. Using annual data from 1970 to 2011 for a large panel of 180 developed and developing … empirical findings show that the effect of inflation volatility is positive, while the effect of trend inflation is negative …