We build upon new developments in the international trade literature to isolate and quantify the long-run economic impacts of tariff changes on the United States and the global economy. In particular, we apply the most recent data and trade elasticity estimates to the Ricardian model of Caliendo...

The weak global GDP growth since the financial crisis in 2007-2009 has coincided with unusually weak growth in global trade. Organisations that monitor international macro-economic development have identified growing protectionism – not least the increase in non-tariff barriers to trade, such...

In Colombia there is no evidence of a direct relationship between economic growth and trade opening; on the contrary, there is evidence that Thirlwall's Law in all its versions better explains the relationship between the external sector and growth, even though the terms of trade are not...

This paper presents an extended model that includes Thirlwall's simple rule. Growth in Mexico fell from an annual average of 6,76% in 1961-1981 to 2,95% in the 1982-2004 period. Net flows of capital, rents and transfers promote and stabilize the economy, while devaluation does not improve...

Using an extended model to calculate the level of growth consistent with the behavior of the balance of payments and the simple structure equation proposed by Thirlwall, a growth rate larger than the observed rate was estimated. This is explained by the accumulated surplus in the commercial...

This paper presents empirical evidence from a cross-section sample of thirty six Sub-Saharan African countries and time-series sample of selected seven. The evidence suggests that countries in the region that open generally tend to grow faster than those that are closed. However, the...

This work shows the asymmetric effect of the reduction in transportation costs across different sectors in the process of the Great Divergence. Specifically, the analysis indicates that reductions in transportation costs of industrial goods enhance convergence of the growth rates of trading...

We undertake a trade-growth accounting exercise by decomposing data on changes in bilateral international trade flows into their direct (endowment accumulation, productivity growth, changes in trade costs, changing preferences) and indirect components (general equilibrium effects). Furthermore,...

The purpose of this paper is to examine dynamic interdependence between wealth accumulation, capital accumulation, economic structure, domestic and global division of labor, international trade and environmental change with transboundary pollution. It analyzes not only inequalities in income,...

Does trade improve institutions and contribute to long run growth? I develop a theory of trade, in which trade liberalization provides incentive to change institutions in two ways. On the one hand, trade leads to specialization according to comparative advantage, expanding the industries that do...