Showing 1 - 10 of 1,567
This paper studies the long-run impact of public debt expansion on economic growth and investigates whether the debt … for a universally applicable threshold effect in the relationship between public debt and economic growth, once we account … negative long-run effects of public debt build-up on output growth. Provided that public debt is on a downward trajectory, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011292965
This paper investigates the long-run effects of public debt and inflation on economic growth. Our contribution is both … over the 1965-2010 period, we find significant negative long-run effects of public debt and inflation on growth. Our … results indicate that, if the debt to GDP ratio is raised and this increase turns out to be permanent, then it will have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010212372
We study how macroeconomic shocks affect U.S. public debt dynamics using a VAR with debt feedback. Following a fiscal … austerity shock, the debt ratio initially declines and then returns to its pre-shock path. Yet, the effect is not statistically … times. An inflation shock only slightly reduces the debt ratio for a few quarters. A positive growth shock unambiguously …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098577
A recent study of 36 sub-Saharan African countries found a positive impact of aid in the absolute majority of these countries. However, for Tanzania and Ghana, two major aid recipients, aid did not seem to have been equally beneficial. This paper singles out these two countries for a more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010128334
We contribute to the literature on the long-run effect of fiscal consolidation on economic growth by applying a novel method for quantitative case studies. Relying on a qualitative (narrative) definition of fiscal consolidations based on an examination of historical policy documents and using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490895
The fiscal policy response to the consequences of the financial and economic crisis consisted either in adopting expansionary policies to stimulate the aggregate demand, or in promoting fiscal consolidation programs designed to restore the sustainability of the public finances. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011504504
Using the Reinhart-Rogoff dataset, we find a debt threshold not around 90 percent but around 30 percent above which the … between public debt and median real GDP growth. The null hypothesis of no threshold effect is rejected at the 5 percent … significance level for most cases. While we find no evidence of a threshold around 90 percent, our findings suggest that the debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010403485
productive public capital, utility enhancing public consumption and public debt. We find that introducing a fixed deficit regime …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117726
fact, these events, combined with subsequent slow growth and two continuing unfunded wars, have resulted in a national debt … deficit and debt problem: the debt ceiling debate, and the subsequent Standard & Poor's credit downgrade of U.S. Treasury … borrowing and pay down debt.The government deficit and debt are inextricably connected to economic growth. As such, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120084
We study the relevance of fiscal rules for growth in an EU panel. Our results show that they foster growth, while stricter fiscal rules mitigate the adverse impact on growth from big governments. Moreover, more recent EU member states have gained from the implementation of fiscal rules
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104652