This paper investigates the effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on economic growth in the presence of fiscal consolidation in South Africa. Markov-switching dynamic regression (MSDR) and time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) were performed using time series data from 1994 to...

This chapter develops a toolkit of neoclassical macroeconomic models, and applies these models to the US economy from 1929 to 2014. We first filter macroeconomic time series into business cycle and long-run components, and show that the long-run component is typically much larger than the...

This paper responds to the development policy debate involving the World Bank and the IMF on the use of fiscal policy not only for economic stabilization but also to promote economic growth and increase per capita income. A key issue in this debate relates to the effect of the composition of...

I use a spatial Durbin model to estimate the effects of taxes on state economic growth. Results indicate that taxes have negative short-run and long-run own-state and spatial spillover effects on state growth.

The purpose of this paper is to employ the quantile regression methodology to investigate the relationship between government size and economic growth using a panel data set for 24 OECD countries. We find that the magnitude of the effect of government size on economic growth varies through the...

The purpose of this paper is to employ the quantile regression methodology to investigate the relationship between government size and economic growth using a panel data set for 24 OECD countries. We find that the magnitude of the effect of government size on economic growth varies through the...

This paper sets up an endogenous growth model to examine the effects of an expansion of defense spending share on inflation, economic growth and welfare. It is found that: (i) an increase of defense spending share will lower the inflation rate and stimulate the economic growth. (ii) from the...

The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether efforts to eliminate the budget deficits in Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain, as it has been suggested by Troika (European Commission, International Monetary Fund, and European Central Bank), will delay the economic growth of these...

This short piece discusses the results of simple regression analysis using cross country data to determine the factors that have influenced fluctuations in real output during the covid-19 pandemic period. Focus is on explaining not only output growth from 2020 to the first half of 2021, but also...

This paper contrasts the effects of tied and untied foreign aid programs on the welfare and macroeconomic performance of a small open economy. We show that the acceptance of tied aid inevitably obligates the recipient economy to undertake certain internal structural adjustments, and the...