Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 2,316
Cover Image
Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter
Quast, Josefine; Wolters, Maik H. - 2020
estimated trend. Based on output growth and inflation forecasts and a comparison to revised output gap estimates from policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012233667
Cover Image
Inflation and Output Growth Uncertainty in Individual Survey Expectations
Paloviita, Maritta - 2014
This paper studies uncertainty using the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters' data. We consider both inflation and … are based on subjective probability distributions of survey respondents. Our analysis indicates that individual inflation … inflation uncertainty has a negative impact on economic activity by decreasing output growth and increasing inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064553
Cover Image
Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Growth and Inflation in the Eurozone : A Causal Approach
Plakandaras, Vasilios - 2017
In this paper, we evaluate the causal relationship between macroeconomic uncertainty indices, inflation and growth rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012945818
Cover Image
A Bayesian Analysis of the Efficiency of Growth and Inflation Forecasts for Germany
Behrens, Christoph; Pierdzioch, Christian; Risse, Marian - In: SSRN eLibrary (2018)
We use Bayesian additive regression trees to reexamine the efficiency of growth and inflation forecasts for Germany. To …-term growth and longer-term inflation forecasts. We cannot reject weak efficiency of short-term growth and inflation forecasts. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822387
Cover Image
Potential growth : a global database
Çelik, Sinem Kılıç; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2023
Potential growth - the rate of expansion an economy can sustain at full capacity and employment - is a critical driver of development progress. It is also a major input in the formulation of fiscal and monetary policies over the business cycle. This paper introduces the most comprehensive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250768
Cover Image
Potential growth prospects : risks, rewards, and policies
Çelik, Sinem Kılıç; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2023
Potential output growth around the world slowed over the past two decades. This slowdown is expected to continue in the remainder of the 2020s: global potential growth is projected to average 2.2 percent per year in 2022-30, 0.4 percentage point below its 2011-21 average. Emerging market and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250772
Cover Image
Slowing growth : more than a rough patch
Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2023
maximum rate at which an economy can grow without igniting inflation - is expected to fall to a three-decade low over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014282834
Cover Image
Potential Growth : A Global Database
Kılıç Çelik, Sinem; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska - 2023
Potential growth — the rate of expansion an economy can sustain at full capacity and employment — is a critical driver of development progress. It is also a major input in the formulation of fiscal and monetary policies over the business cycle. This paper introduces the most comprehensive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014357845
Cover Image
Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter
Quast, Josefine; Wolters, Maik H. - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 40 (2022) 1, pp. 152-168
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012804095
Cover Image
The Global Economic Polycrisis and the Korean Economy
Kang, Duyong - 2023
tighter monetary policy as it experiences rampant inflation (in some countries at a 40-year high). As the economy has yet to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257291