Showing 1 - 10 of 2,566
This paper investigates thresholds of inflation, government size, trade openness, and per capita income for the finance … inflation crowds out positive effects of financial depth on long-run growth, (ii) small government sizes hurt the finance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133509
This paper investigates inflation thresholds that lead to higher growth rates using five-year averages of standard … countries: (i) the catch-up effect has worked only when inflation is below 12%; (ii) the positive effect of human capital on … growth has been present and significant when inflation has been below 15%; (iii) financial development has been effective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118189
the inflation rate. Using five-year averages of standard measures of financial development, inflation, and growth for 84 … countries from 1960 to 1995, a series of rolling panel regressions show that there is an inflation threshold for the finance …-growth relationship that lies between 13 and 25 percent. When inflation exceeds the threshold, finance ceases to increase economic growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014110986
The marked turnaround in Russia's foreign trade in 2023 exerted strong downward pressure on the Russian rouble, which lost around 30% of its value. Global oil prices were declining in the first half of the year, the EU import embargo on Russian oil depressed prices even further; and on top of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015065596
Expectations are at the centre of modern macroeconomic theory and policymakers. In this paper, we examine the predictive ability and the consistency properties of macroeconomic expectations using data of the European Central Bank (ECB) Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF)
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961331
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010246268
macroeconomic growth in Lithuania. The IMF report discusses the requirement of fiscal consolidation to fully rebuild fiscal space …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245185
Der Beitrag analysiert die Argentinien-Krise, vergleicht die makroökonomische Entwicklung von Argentinien, Brasilien, Chile und Mexiko seit der Mexiko-Krise und entwickelt Indikatoren zur Beurteilung der Entwicklungschancen dieser Länder. Für Argentinien wie für Brasilien, Chile und Mexiko...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011491158
This paper analyzes the effect of undervaluation on economic growth in the presence of borrowing constraints. Based on a two-sector, small open-economy model, we show that undervaluation can promote economic growth by partly correcting distortions in financial markets through the channels of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961372
Macroeconomic adjustment in the euro area periphery was more recessionary than pre-crisis imbalances would have warranted. To make this claim, this paper uses a Propensity Score Matching Model to produce counterfactuals for the Eurozone crisis countries (Greece, Portugal, Ireland, Cyprus, Spain)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866042