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Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as 'hysteresis,' argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and...
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is expected to grow this year at a rate not seen for more than 15 years. Investment is likely to improve and become the … second pillar of the recovery. Construction investment in particular is projected to increase more rapidly than in the …
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