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This paper puts the original Reinhart-Rogoff dataset, made public by Herndon et al. (2013), to a formal econometric test to pin down debt thresholds endogenously. We show that the nonlinear relation from debt to growth is not very robust. Taken with a pinch of salt, our results suggest, however,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767743
Notwithstanding a very strong economic performance over the past decade or so, Poland’s per capita income is substantially lower in comparison with the United States and per capita income growth will be sharply slowing down over the coming decades under the scenario of gradual policy changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767744
The economics profession seems to increasingly endorse the existence of a strongly negative nonlinear effect of public debt on economic growth. Reinhart and Rogoff (2010) were the first to point out that a public debt-to-GDP ratio higher than 90% of GDP is associated with considerably lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009690882
In a series of articles and books, Harold Vatter and John Walker attempted to make the case that the American economy suffers from chronically insufficient demand that leads to growth below capacity. Of particular interest are a 1989 Journal of Post Keynesian Economics article that extends...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003721076
In a series of articles and books, Harold Vatter and John Walker attempted to make the case that the U.S. economy suffers from chronically insufficient demand that leads to growth below capacity. Of particular interest are a 1989 Journal of Post Keynesian Economics article that extends Domar's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012731129
Productivity growth has flat-lined in most economies despite rapid advances in technology. Economists suggest competing explanations for this paradox. Some argue the current stagnation will persist given deep structural challenges, arguing that recent technological advances are no match for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890306
In this article, we analyze the factors and circumstances behind the slowdown of Russia's economic growth. The recovery phase that followed the 2008-9 crisis has ended. The raw materials export model of production has reached its limit for rapid growth. The reduced flow of monetary and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019726
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078360
This paper puts the Reinhart-Rogoff data-set to a formal econometric testing to see whether public debt has a negative non-linear effect on growth if public debt exceeds 90% of GDP. Using non-linear threshold models, we show that the negative non-linear relationship between debt and growth is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078482
This paper examines fungibility as a possible explanation for the missing link between foreign aid and economic growth. The composition of aid plays a crucial role in determining the composition of government spending and, consequently, the magnitude of fungibility and its impact on growth....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317224