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Since 1991, survey expectations of long-run output growth for the U.S. relative to the rest of the world exhibit a pattern strikingly similar to that of the U.S. current account, and thus also to global imbalances. We show that this finding can to a large extent be rationalized in a two-region...
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: Selected channels of transmission -- Chapter 3. UK policy uncertainty shock and South African economy: Inferences from the … exchange rate, exports and inflation channels.- Chapter 4. Foreign GDP growth uncertainties shock and South African economy …, foreign demand and domestic policy uncertainty shock effects on economic sectors.- Chapter 8. The transmission channels of the …
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This paper investigates the effects of global economic uncertainty and trade policy-related uncertainty in the US in predicting the bond and equity flows to Turkey during the period from January 2008 to November 2019. We use the time-varying Granger-causality test to assess the ability of...
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