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We combine an estimated monetary policy rule featuring time-varying trend inflation and stochastic coefficients with a … medium scale New Keynesian framework calibrated on the U.S. economy. We find the impact of variations in trend inflation on … counterfactual exercises suggest that the change in the Federal Reserve's policy response to inflation is likely to have been the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343856
-run trade-offs between output and inflation: lower trend inflation flattens the Phillips curve and decreases steady-state output … by increasing markups. We show that the aggregator reduces both the steady-state welfare cost of higher trend inflation … and the inflation-related weight in a model-based welfare function for higher trend inflation. Consequently, optimal trend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828858
This paper investigates the relationship between the Great Moderation and two measures of inflation performance: trend … inflation and inflation volatility. Using annual data from 1970 to 2011 for a large panel of 180 developed and developing … empirical findings show that the effect of inflation volatility is positive, while the effect of trend inflation is negative …
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growth regime. Since the great financial crisis inflation developments have posed major puzzles to economists as inflation … paper analyses whether the wage-price pass-through may have contributed to these inflation puzzles. Applying the Threshold … or diminish the puzzle of the missing disinflation of the past two recessions suggesting that inflation should be …
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In this article, we provide new, novel evidence for a more recent structural break (in 2010) indicating a greater moderation of output volatility compared to the well-known break during the mid-1980s. The period of analysis runs from 1962Q2 to 2018Q3. It covers 26 OECD countries. In terms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012147010