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Investor Protection, Aggregate Accounting Earnings and Forecasts of Growth in GDP : International Evidence
Fargher, Neil L. - 2020
This study draws on the investor protection literature to examine differences in a country's information environment that are likely to explain cross country variation in the extent to which macroeconomic forecasters take account of current earnings when forecasting future growth in GDP. Using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828194
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Growth forecasts and news about monetary policy
Karnaukh, Nina - 2020
We find that 30-minute changes in bond yields around scheduled Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcements are predictable with the pre-FOMC Blue Chip professionals’ revisions in GDP growth forecasts. A positive pre-FOMC GDP growth revision predicts a contractionary policy news shock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388387
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Bottom-up or direct? : forecasting German GDP in a data-rich environment
Heinisch, Katja; Scheufele, Rolf - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 54 (2018) 2, pp. 705-745
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011949298
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Using the Yield Curve in forecasting output growth and inflation
Hillebrand, Eric; Huiyu Hang; Lee, Tae-hwy; Li, Canlin - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009531583
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Evaluating predictive densities of US output growth and inflation in a large macroeconomic data set
Rossi, Barbara; Sekhposyan, Tatevik - In: International journal of forecasting 30 (2014) 3, pp. 662-682
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010514762
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Subjective and ex post forecast uncertainty : US inflation and output growth
Clements, Michael P. - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618587
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Real-time forecasting of inflation and output growth with autoregressive models in the presence of data revisions
Clements, Michael P.; Galvão, Ana Beatriz C. - In: Journal of applied econometrics 28 (2013) 3, pp. 458-477
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009756496
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Forecasts 1979 : Slow Growth, Continued Inflation, but No Recession
Cullison, William - 2012
The economy in 1979 will be plagued with slow growth, increased unemployment, and continuing high rates of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103314
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Forecasting China's Economic Growth and Inflation
Higgins, Patrick C. - 2017
product (GDP) growth and consumer price index inflation. This paper fills this research gap by providing a replicable …-run forecast horizons. The model is shown to be capable of predicting turning points and usable for policy analysis under different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968806
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Forecasting China's Economic Growth and Inflation
Higgins, Patrick C. - 2016
inflation. This paper fills this research gap by providing a replicable forecasting model that beats a host of other competing … models when measured by root mean square errors, especially over long-run forecast horizons. The model is shown to be capable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987123