This work looks at emerging growth companies through the perspective of the dynamics leading up to an inflection point, with emphasis on negative results. Milestones in a company's growth, like a prototype product, the first sale of a product, financial sustainability, and capturing a targeted...

I study the effects of uncertainty on technology adoption and thereby on volatility and growth. I present an analytically-tractable model in which: (i) uncertainty about the returns to adoption delays technology diffusion; and (ii) the mean and volatility of output growth are jointly determined...

The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated the shift toward digital services. Meanwhile, the race for technological and economic leadership has heated up, with risks of decoupling that could set back trade and growth and hinder the recovery from the worst global recession since the Great Depression....

In the conventional neoclassical growth model, technical change is generally characterized as “purely labor-augmenting,” a restriction that limits modern civilization to super-humans living in the Stone Age. As a novel and radical departure from conventional growth theory, the model...

Advances in artificial intelligence and automation have the potential to be labor-saving and to increase inequality and poverty around the globe. They also give rise to winner-takes-all dynamics that advantage highly skilled individuals and countries that are at the forefront of technological...