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This brief assesses the effect of a capital gains tax cut on firms' decisions to undertake new investment projects and the possible effect of such projects on economic growth and employment. The authors' analysis takes into account such factors as projects' degree of uncertainty, investors'...
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Congress currently is considering changes in the capital gains tax, including reducing the rate, indexing the rate to inflation, or some combination of reduction and indexing. These changes have been advocated on the grounds that a cut in the rate will stimulate investment and economic growth....
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timely measures of uncertainty and expected growth across horizons. Asset prices, such as dividend futures and index options … by using new data on the prices of options on index-level dividends, from which we can compute implied dividend … about dividends. We construct a term structure of implied dividend volatilities that characterizes how uncertainty varies …
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