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This study constructs a Bayesian nonparametric model to investigate whether stock market returns predict real economic growth. Unlike earlier studies, our use of an infinite hidden Markov model enables parameters to be time-varying across an infinite number of Markov-switching states estimated...
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research on the evolution of the world income distribution is expanded by an analysis of the evolution of the distribution of …
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Firm size is an essential factor in examining the relation between returns and idiosyncratic volatilities. This paper documents that, when the idiosyncratic volatility is specified by firm size, the size-portfolio idiosyncratic volatility is statistically significant in explaining the future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117807
This study investigates the joint explanation and impact of economic growth, equity market performance and economic growth uncertainty on foreign participation (using net inflows from equity securities held by foreign investors as a proxy) in local equity market. Based on the analysis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033608
We document an inverse relation between stock-bond correlations and correlations of growth and inflation. We find that … rising inflation uncertainty lowers stock prices but can either lower or raise nominal bond prices depending on whether … important drivers of stock-bond correlations during the countercyclical period 1965-2000 while output shocks dominated during …
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