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Firm Profitability - Does it really matter for shareholder return or ROE (return on equity)? Does this question sound oxymoron and antithetic? Not really. On the contrary, evidence has surfaced that Returns on equity - based on the shareholders' equity accounted in the balance sheet - is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841357
This paper develops a general equilibrium model to examine the quantitative effects of speculative bubbles on capital accumulation, growth, and welfare. A near-rational bubble component in the model equity price generates excess volatility in response to observed technology shocks. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087553
We consider whether key financial variables predict macroeconomic series and if any predictive power for output growth is also seen in consumption or investment growth. Such information will allow the use of financial markets as a leading indicator for macroeconomic performance. Full sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860534
chasing nonfinancial goals apart from generating profit under risk that can be ascribed neither to findings of behavioral … finance nor to traditional economical theories? Inspired by rational choice theory, this paper tries to explore this largely … excess nonfinancial utility/value by boasting about being a shareholder of these stocks and making profit with them, compared …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021105
Macroeconomic Theory and historical evidence suggest that bond prices help cause long-run convergence between stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991589
Møller and Rangvid (2015) report that economic growth at the end of the year is a strong predictor of future stock returns for the post-WWII period, whereas economic growth during the rest of the year does not. Revisiting these results with an extended period 1926-2020, we find that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323390
We develop two new methods for calibrating subjective expectations regarding the return generating process (RGP) of financial assets without resorting to noisy realized returns. Using finance professionals' expectations of average and extreme returns, volatilities, and probabilities of stocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995634
Price Earnings- and Market Book-ratios presume a systematic link between financial statement data and company value. We analyze this relationship in a steady state model with overlapping capacity investments where company value is inferred from a constant growth residual income model. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822368
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