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Firm Profitability - Does it really matter for shareholder return or ROE (return on equity)? Does this question sound oxymoron and antithetic? Not really. On the contrary, evidence has surfaced that Returns on equity - based on the shareholders' equity accounted in the balance sheet - is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841357
We use the residual-income valuation model to simultaneously estimate firm-specific implied long-term growth rate in abnormal earnings and cost of capital by relating earnings-to-price and book-to-market ratios in a linear fashion. This simple framework estimates investors' consensus beliefs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014064918
This paper addresses the link between shocks to productivity trend growth and long-run consumption risk in a production economy model with recursive utility. Quantifying trend growth shocks, I find that persistent fluctuations in trend growth are the key driver of sizable long-run consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894135
Møller and Rangvid (2015) report that economic growth at the end of the year is a strong predictor of future stock returns for the post-WWII period, whereas economic growth during the rest of the year does not. Revisiting these results with an extended period 1926-2020, we find that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323390
This paper develops a general equilibrium model to examine the quantitative effects of speculative bubbles on capital accumulation, growth, and welfare. A near-rational bubble component in the model equity price generates excess volatility in response to observed technology shocks. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087553
We consider whether key financial variables predict macroeconomic series and if any predictive power for output growth is also seen in consumption or investment growth. Such information will allow the use of financial markets as a leading indicator for macroeconomic performance. Full sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860534
Macroeconomic Theory and historical evidence suggest that bond prices help cause long-run convergence between stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991589
Purpose: The purpose of the study is to examine the dynamics in the troika of asset pricing, volatility, and the business cycle in the US and Japan.Design/methodology/approach: The study uses a six-factor asset pricing model to derive the realized volatility measure for the GARCH-type...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211332
Price Earnings- and Market Book-ratios presume a systematic link between financial statement data and company value. We analyze this relationship in a steady state model with overlapping capacity investments where company value is inferred from a constant growth residual income model. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822368
This paper discusses the links between economic growth, corporate earnings and stock returns. Cross-country correlation studies do not confirm the intuitive assumption that higher returns on equities are more likely in the faster-growing countries. The problem can be analysed more deeply by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011869610