Showing 1 - 10 of 13,117
This paper studies the consequences of asset bubbles for economies that are vulnerable to persistent stagnation. Stagnation is the result of a shortage of assets that creates an oversupply of savings and puts downward pressure on the level of interest rates. Once the zero lower bound on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406094
We document an inverse relation between stock-bond correlations and correlations of growth and inflation. We find that … rising inflation uncertainty lowers stock prices but can either lower or raise nominal bond prices depending on whether … important drivers of stock-bond correlations during the countercyclical period 1965-2000 while output shocks dominated during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009684165
developing countries. However, stocks and long-term bond portfolio investment are unrelated to economic growth in developed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014307374
Using a unique money manager database that allows managers to identify their own investment styles, we examine 4,754 non mutual fund value- and growth-oriented portfolios over the period 1999-2003. Consistent with style definitions, we find that on average, growth funds have price-earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138275
We evaluate the global macroeconomic effects of fiscal and monetary policy measures to counterbalance secular stagnation by simulating a five-region New Keynesian model of the world economy, calibrated to the United States (US), the euro area (EA), Japan (JP), China (CH), and the rest of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941766
The widespread emergence of intangible technologies in recent decades may have significantly hurt output growth -- even when these technologies replaced considerably less productive tangible technologies -- because of structurally low interest rates caused by demographic forces. This insight is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011708126
predictions of the theory. The real interest rate should exceed the growth rate in the long run. This hierarchy has important … consequences on the public finances. The Solow-Ramsey-Cass model fits better to the data than the endogenous growth theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110039
Because of the uncertainty about how to model the growth process of our economy, there is still much confusion about which discount rates should be used to evaluate actions having long-lasting impacts, as in the contexts of climate change, social security reforms or large public infrastructures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009689360
Because of the uncertainty about how to model the growth process of our economy, there is still much confusion about which discount rates should be used to evaluate actions having long-lasting impacts, as in the contexts of climate change, social security reforms or large public infrastructures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315817
This paper provides evidence that domestic opportunities to share risk have contributed to slower growth. We first provide a simple model economy that demonstrates how a country's ability to diversify risk is linked to its growth rate. In the context of the model economy, we then investigate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014069642