To understand macroeconomic risks underlying currency carry trades, I propose exploiting rich source of information from analysts’ economic growth forecasts. Specifically, I obtain measures of global growth prospects from the cross-analyst distribution of real GDP growth forecasts. I find that...

This study investigates the impact of economic growth risk on stock market performance in 70 countries. Based on the analysis of the full sample, on average, 1% increase in economic growth risk is associated with 0.23% (p = 0.058) increase in stock market return. Looking at stock market return...

I analyze output growth, volatility, and skewness as the joint outcomes of financial openness. Using an industry panel of 53 countries over 45 years, I find that financial openness increases simultaneously mean growth and the negative skewness of the growth process. The increase in output...

I analyze output growth, volatility, and skewness as the joint outcomes of financial openness. Using an industry panel of 53 countries over 45 years, I find that financial openness increases simultaneously mean growth and the negative skewness of the growth process. The increase in output...

This paper examines long memory volatility in international stock markets. We show that long memory volatility is widespread in a panel dataset of eighty-two countries and that the degree of memory in the panel can be related to macroeconomic variables such as short- and long-run interest rates...

We investigate the effect of a stock market liberalization on industry growth in emerging markets. Consistent with the view that liberalization reduces financing constraints, we find that industries that are more externally dependent and face better growth opportunities grew faster following...

The chapter reconceptualizes financial innovation. In this context, it discusses the risks of financial innovation and contemporary regulatory reforms addressing those risks. It provides a critique of contemporary reforms. Finally, it stresses the need for a new framework to regulate financial...

There is no agreement regarding the growth-enhancing effects of financial liberalization, mainly because it is associated with risky international bank flows, lending booms, and crises. In this paper we make the case for liberalization despite the occurrence of crises. We show that in developing...

This study investigates the joint explanation and impact of economic growth, equity market performance and economic growth uncertainty on foreign participation (using net inflows from equity securities held by foreign investors as a proxy) in local equity market. Based on the analysis of...