Guerrón-Quintana, Pablo; Hirano, Tomohiro; Jinnai, Ryo - 2022
We analyze the ups and downs in economic growth in recent decades by constructing a model with recurrent bubbles …, crashes, and endogenous growth. Once realized, bubbles crowd in investment and stimulate economic growth, but expectation … about future bubbles crowds out investment and reduces economic growth. We identify bubbly episodes by estimating the model …