Studies have shown that firm asset growth predicts cross-sectional stock returns. Firms that shrink their assets earn superior returns while firms that substantially expand their assets incur poor returns in the following years. I show that the negative asset growth often implies poor operating...

We find that the low average returns to firms with high asset growth are consistent with two key implications of models of diagnostic investor expectations (e.g., Bordalo, Gennaioli, La Porta, and Shleifer, 2019) that formalize the representativeness heuristic of Kahneman and Tversky (1972)....

We study a quantitative DSGE model linking a state of the art asset pricing framework à la Kung and Schmid (2015) with a constraint on leverage as in Gertler and Kiyotaki (2010). We show that a mere increase in the probability of firms being financially constrained leads to an increase in risk...

Because of the uncertainty about how to model the growth process of our economy, there is still much confusion about which discount rates should be used to evaluate actions having long-lasting impacts, as in the contexts of climate change, social security reforms or large public infrastructures...

This paper contributes to the ongoing debate on the relationship between austerity measures and economic growth. We propose a general equilibrium model where (i) agents have recursive preferences; (ii ) economic growth is endogenously driven by investments in R&D; (iii) the government is...

This paper develops a general equilibrium model to examine the quantitative effects of speculative bubbles on capital accumulation, growth, and welfare. A near-rational bubble component in the model equity price generates excess volatility in response to observed technology shocks. In...

All variations in price-dividend ratios result from either movements in expected returns or expected dividend growth rates. If growth rates contain a persistent component, even small changes in expected near-term dividends can cause large movements in prices. I derive closed-form solutions for...

El mercado español paga una prima significativa por los riesgos asociados al mercado, tamaño y ratio book-to-market y por el factor de negociación momentum. Este artículo estudia la capacidad de un factor réplica del pronóstico de mercado sobre el crecimiento económico futuro para...

I build a dynamic capital structure model that demonstrates how business-cycle variations in expected growth rates, economic uncertainty, and risk premia influence firms' financing and default policies. Countercyclical fluctuations in risk prices, default probabilities, and default losses arise...