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The uncertainty of U.S. core inflation, measured by the stochastic volatility of forecast errors, has soared to a level … increase after a positive shock to core inflation uncertainty in a vector autoregression. Endogenous changes in household … inflation expectations help to understand the transmission mechanism through which an inflation uncertainty shock generates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254220
The recovery from the Global Financial Crisis was characterized by sluggish output growth and by inflation remaining … persistently below the inflation targets of central banks in many advanced economies despite an unprecedented monetary expansion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976123
The recovery from the Global Financial Crisis was characterized by sluggish output growth and by inflation remaining … persistently below the inflation targets of central banks in many advanced economies despite an unprecedented monetary expansion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022449
developments, the risk of stagflation-a combination of high inflation and sluggish growth-has risen. The recovery from the …Global inflation has risen sharply from its lows in mid-2020, on rebounding global demand, supply bottlenecks, and … soaring food and energy prices, especially since the Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine. Markets expect inflation to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256317
markets now expect is not enough to reduce inflation to targets, experience from previous global recessions suggests that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013383374
situation helps to explain the surge in the country's inflation and its very high growth in financial condition from late 2007 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008826302
We review macroeconomic performance over the period since the Global Financial Crisis and the challenges in the pursuit of the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate. We characterize the use of forward guidance and balance sheet policies after the federal funds rate reached the effective lower bound....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048774
exception of the Great Moderation. We analyze the Fed and pre-Fed periods in terms of the rates and volatilities of inflation … real GDP growth has been lower under the Fed, while inflation has been higher. The volatilities of inflation and GDP growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034707
We review the macroeconomic performance during the Global Financial Crisis and subsequent economic expansion, as well as the challenges in the pursuit of the Federal Reserve's dual mandate. We characterize the use of forward guidance and balance sheet policies after the federal funds rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323823
The analysis in this paper was presented to the Federal Open Market Committee as background for its discussion of the Federal Reserve's review of monetary policy strategy, tools, and communication practices. The Committee discussed issues related to the review at five consecutive meetings from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824115