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We introduce a straightforward method to estimate the implied cost of equity, allowing growth horizons to fluctuate both cross-sectionally and through time. Our results show substantial dispersion of implied growth horizons in cross-sections and time-series for US firms in the years 1988-2013....
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component does not forecast future returns, and the hard component does forecast future returns, but in a perverse way …
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This paper investigates the driver of asset growth to explain the cross-country variation of the asset growth effect. We find that institutional restrictions on equity financing constrain firms' abilities to grow assets, and the degree of such restrictions is associated with the observed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936111
We find that 30-minute changes in bond yields around scheduled Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcements are predictable with the pre-FOMC Blue Chip professionals’ revisions in GDP growth forecasts. A positive pre-FOMC GDP growth revision predicts a contractionary policy news shock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012388387
considering a range of alternative predictor variables, predictive and forecast time horizons, empirical methodologies and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032530
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110732
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110894