Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 99,694
Cover Image
Using capabilities to project growth, 2010–30
Felipe, Jesus; Kumar, Utsav; Abdon, Arnelyn - 2010
We forecast average annual GDP growth for 147 countries for 2010–30. We use a cross-country regression model where the … transformation. -- Capabilities ; forecast ; growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003996803
Cover Image
Using capabilities to project growth, 2010 - 2030
Felipe, Jesus; Kumar, Utsav; Abdon, Arnelyn - In: Journal of the Japanese and international economies : … 26 (2012) 1, pp. 153-166
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009619709
Cover Image
Does the post-crisis weakness of global trade solely reflect weak demand?
Ollivaud, Patrice; Schwellnus, Cyrille - 2015
Global trade growth over the past few years has appeared extraordinarily weak, even in relation to weak global GDP growth. This paper shows that the apparent breakdown in the relationship between global trade and global GDP growth is largely explained by two factors: an inappropriate measurement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399400
Cover Image
A note on uncertainty due to infectious diseases and output growth of the United States : a mixed-frequency forecasting experiment
Salisu, Afees A.; Gupta, Rangan; Demirer, Rıza - In: Annals of financial economics 17 (2022) 2, pp. 1-9
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013262971
Cover Image
The growth-at-risk (GaR) Framework : implication for Ukraine
Ivanova, Anastasiya; Shmygel, Alona; Lubchuk, Ihor - 2021
Using data for the Ukrainian economy, we applied and adapted the growth-at-risk (GaR) framework to examine the association between financial conditions, credit and sectors' activity, and external conditions and the probability distribution of GDP growth in Ukraine. We applied CSA and PCA...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012590331
Cover Image
Forecasting short-term real GDP growth in the euro area and Japan using unrestricted MIDAS regressions
Leboeuf, Maxime; Morel, Louis - 2014
results suggest that the purchasing managers' index (PMI) is among the best-performing indicators to forecast real GDP growth … improves forecast accuracy and can be an effective way to mitigate the volatility associated with monthly indicators. Overall …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010403330
Cover Image
Financial variables as predictors of real growth vulnerability
Reichlin, Lucrezia; Ricco, Giovanni; Hasenzagl, Thomas - 2020 - This version: 30th October 2019
We evaluate the role of financial conditions as predictors of macroeconomic risk first in the quantile regression framework of Adrian et al. (2019b), which allows for non-linearities, and then in a novel linear semi-structural model as proposed by Hasenzagl et al. (2018). We distinguish between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012173525
Cover Image
What really drives economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa? : evidence from the lasso regularization and inferential techniques
Ofori, Isaac Kwesi; Obeng, Camara Kwasi; Asongu, Simplice - 2022
The question of what really drives economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has been debated for many decades now. However, there is still a lack of clarity on variables crucial for driving growth as prior contributions have been executed at the backdrop of preferential selection of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013380603
Cover Image
A structural VAR approach to core inflation in Canada
Martel, Sylvain (contributor) - 2008
The author constructs a measure of core inflation using a structural vector autoregression containing oil-price growth, output growth, and inflation. This macro-foundedʺ measure of inflation forecasts total inflation at least as well as other, atheoretical measures. -- Inflation and prices
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003740815
Cover Image
Bottom-up or direct? forecasting German GDP in a data-rich environment
Heinisch, Katja; Scheufele, Rolf - 2013
forces of the forecast and hence enables the interpretability of the forecast outcome. -- Contemporaneous aggregation … ; nowcasting ; leading indicators ; MIDAS ; forecast combination ; forecast evaluation … der Prognose nachzuvollziehen und ermöglicht somit die Interpretierbarkeit des Prognoseergebnisses. -- Kontemporäre …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009735835