There are significant effects of changing demographics on economic indicators: growth in GDP especially, but also the current account balance and gross capital formation. The 15-24 age group appears to be one of the key age groups in these effects, with increases in that age group exerting...

This paper puts the original Reinhart-Rogoff dataset, made public by Herndon et al. (2013), to a formal econometric test to pin down debt thresholds endogenously. We show that the nonlinear relation from debt to growth is not very robust. Taken with a pinch of salt, our results suggest, however,...

Notwithstanding a very strong economic performance over the past decade or so, Poland’s per capita income is substantially lower in comparison with the United States and per capita income growth will be sharply slowing down over the coming decades under the scenario of gradual policy changes...

The economics profession seems to increasingly endorse the existence of a strongly negative nonlinear effect of public debt on economic growth. Reinhart and Rogoff (2010) were the first to point out that a public debt-to-GDP ratio higher than 90% of GDP is associated with considerably lower...

This paper delivers a simple model to generalize the successful trade liberalization experiences in East Asian countries as a strategy for attaining inclusive and sustained economic growth. The sequential approach, based on preserving existing production units while liberalizing trade-oriented...

Does international financial integration boost economic growth? The empirical literature has not yet established a robust link between openness to the international capital market and economic growth. In this paper we turn to the economic history of the first era of financial globalization...

This paper employs a new panel dataset and a wide assorted number of indicators both de jure and de facto measures to proxy for international financial integration to investigate the relationship between international financial integration and economic growth. Using 79 countries with the data...

In 2001, Goldman Sachs coined the term BRICs (Wilson, Kelston, & Ahmed, 2010) to describe the four large developing countries of Brazil, Russia, India, and China that Goldman Sachs predict will overtake the G6 (US, Japan, UK, Germany, France, and Italy) in terms of GDP (in US$) by 2050 (Wilson &...