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the variance of monetary shocks has a negative effect on growth, while output volatility is good for growth as a positive …
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of monetary shocks has a negative effect on growth, while output volatility is good for growth as a positive relationship …
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Recently, Fagiolo et al. (2008) find fat tails of economic growth rates after adjusting for outliers, autocorrelation, and heteroskedasticity. This paper employs US quarterly real output growth, showing that this finding of fat tails may reflect the Great Moderation. That is, leptokurtosis...
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volatility over the period 1947 to 2006. First, we consider the possible effects of structural change in the volatility process …. In so doing, we employ GARCH-M and ARCH-M specifications of the process describing output growth rate and its volatility … with and without a one-time structural break in volatility. Second, our data analyses and empirical results suggest no …
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equity market participants, making the derivative markets fragile …
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