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volatility. These implied volatilities differ from the VIX which measures uncertainty about stock prices, not only uncertainty … the volatility of near-future dividends that lingers even as the volatility of the overall market portfolio has started to …
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This paper evaluates how well sectoral stock prices forecast future economic activity compared to traditional predictors such as the term spread, dividend yield, exchange rates and money growth. The study is applied to euro area financial asset prices and real economic growth, covering the...
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-varying uncertainty (i.e., volatility) about future economic prospects drive asset prices. These two channels of economic risks can …
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