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The U.S. business cycle, 1867-1995: dynamic factor analysis vs. reconstructed national accounts
Ritschl, Albrecht; Sarferaz, Samad; Uebele, Martin - 2008
This paper presents insights on U.S. business cycle volatility since 1867 de- rived from diffusion indices. We employ a … volatility across World War I, which is reversed after World War II. While we can generate evidence of postwar moderation … for World War II where they support alternative estimates of Kuznets (1952). -- U.S. business cycle ; volatility ; dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003796122
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Was the U.S. Great Depression a Credit Boom Gone Wrong?
Postel-Vinay, Natacha - 2020
The US Great Depression was preceded by almost a decade of credit growth. This review paper suggests that the 1920s credit boom went through two phases: one, up to around 1927, when credit grew in concert with money; another one, from around 1928 to 1929, when credit grew faster than money....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848726
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Oil price uncertainty and the business cycle : accounting for the influences of global supply and demand within a VAR GARCH-in-mean framework
Thiem, Christopher - 2017
volatility as well as the U.S. economy. We find that - even after accounting for these factors - oil price uncertainty still has … confirms these results. Finally, significant spillover effects in the GARCH model suggest that oil price volatility is a gauge …Dieser Beitrag untersucht den Einfluss von Ölpreisunsicherheit auf die Wirtschaftsaktivität der USA mit Hilfe eines VAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011608019
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Essays on business cycle analysis and demography
Sarferaz, Samad - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008811071
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The US bsiness cycle, 1867 - 1995 : dynamic factor analysis vs. reconstructed national accounts
Ritschl, Albrecht; Sarferaz, Samad; Uebele, Martin - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003942580
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Not What it Used to Be : The Cambridge Economic History of the United States, Volumes II and III
Field, Alexander J. - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014047560
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Banking and Financial Crises in United States History : What Guidance can History Offer Policymakers?
Tallman, Ellis W. - 2010
This paper assesses the validity of comparisons between the current financial crisis and past crises in the United States. We highlight aspects of two National Banking Era crises (the Panic of 1873 and the Panic of 1907) that are relevant for comparison with the Panic of 2008. In 1873,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139392
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Interbank Networks and the Interregional Transmission of Financial Crises : Evidence from the Panic of 1907
Jaremski, Matthew S.; Wheelock, David C. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
This paper provides quantitative evidence on interbank transmission of financial distress in the Panic of 1907 and ensuing recession. Originating in New York City, the panic led to payment suspensions and emergency currency issuance in many cities. Data on the universe of interbank connections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287370
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Can general purpose technology theory explain economic growth? : electrical power as a case study
Ristuccia, Cristiano Andrea; Solomou, Solomos - 2014
economies? The paper develops a new comparative data set on the usage of electricity in the manufacturing sectors of the USA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010252126
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Estimation of Historical Inflation Expectations
Binder, Carola - 2016
Expected inflation is a central variable in economic theory. Economic historians have estimated historical inflation expectations for a variety of purposes, including studies of the Fisher effect, the debt deflation hypothesis, central bank credibility, and expectations formation. I survey the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989845