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The U.S. business cycle, 1867-1995: dynamic factor analysis vs. reconstructed national accounts
Ritschl, Albrecht; Sarferaz, Samad; Uebele, Martin - 2008
This paper presents insights on U.S. business cycle volatility since 1867 de- rived from diffusion indices. We employ a … volatility across World War I, which is reversed after World War II. While we can generate evidence of postwar moderation … for World War II where they support alternative estimates of Kuznets (1952). -- U.S. business cycle ; volatility ; dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003796122
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The US bsiness cycle, 1867 - 1995 : dynamic factor analysis vs. reconstructed national accounts
Ritschl, Albrecht; Sarferaz, Samad; Uebele, Martin - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003942580
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Interbank Networks and the Interregional Transmission of Financial Crises : Evidence from the Panic of 1907
Jaremski, Matthew S.; Wheelock, David C. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
This paper provides quantitative evidence on interbank transmission of financial distress in the Panic of 1907 and ensuing recession. Originating in New York City, the panic led to payment suspensions and emergency currency issuance in many cities. Data on the universe of interbank connections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287370
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Can general purpose technology theory explain economic growth? : electrical power as a case study
Ristuccia, Cristiano Andrea; Solomou, Solomos - 2014
economies? The paper develops a new comparative data set on the usage of electricity in the manufacturing sectors of the USA …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010252126
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The US business cycle, 1867 - 1995 : a dynamic factor approach
Ritschl, Albrecht; Sarferaz, Samad; Uebele, Martin - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003793651
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Tracking down the business cycle : a dynamic factor model for Germany 1820-1913
Sarferaz, Samad (contributor); Uebele, Martin (contributor) - 2007
We use a Bayesian dynamic factor model to measure Germany's pre World War I economic activity. The procedure makes better use of existing time series data than historical national accounting. To investigate industrialization we propose to look at comovement between sectors. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003633999
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Economic policy and output volatility in Spain, 1950 - 1998 : was fiscal policy destabilizing?
Battilossi, Stefano; Escario, Regina; Foreman-Peck, James S. - 2010
growth volatility over the period 19501998. We find that a transition from pro-cyclical to countercyclical fiscal policy … ; growth volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003990356
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Harvests and business cycles in nineteenth-century America
Davis, Joseph H.; Hanes, Christopher L.; Rhode, Paul W. - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003804122
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On the biological standard of living of eighteenth-century Americans : taller, richer, healthier
Komlos, John - 2003
This study analyses the physical stature of runaway apprentices and military deserters based on advertisements collected from 18th-century newspapers, in order to explore the biological welfare of colonial and early-national Americans. The results indicate that heights declined somewhat at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010440938
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Crisis? What crisis? Currency vs. banking in the Financial Crisis of 1931
Ritschl, Albrecht; Sarferaz, Samad - 2010
This paper examines the role of currency and banking in the German financial crisis of 1931 for both Germany and the U.S. We specify a structural dynamic factor model to identify financial and monetary factors separately for each of the two economies. We find that monetary transmission through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952982