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This note lays out the basic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemiological model of contagion, with a target audience of economists who want a framework for understanding the effects of social distancing and containment policies on the evolution of contagion and interactions with the...
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A large literature following Ruhm (2000) suggests that mortality falls during recessions and rises during booms. The … of the relationship between business cycles and mortality are highly sensitive to assumptions related to migration. After … adjusting for migration, we find that mortality increased during the cotton recession, but was largely unaffected by the coal …
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