probability distribution of forecasting errors are needed in order to draw confidence bands around point forecasts. This paper … the uncertainty around the model’s parameters and the structural errors term to construct asymmetric confidence bands … the OECD Indicator Model for Germany. The empirical probability distributions of the GDP growth forecasts, derived through …

modeling and simulation methods. Following the application of modeling and simulation methods in a farm resulting optimal …

present a simulation-based approach by fusing eleven macroeconomic factors using Neural Networks (NN) to build an Economic … Factor-based Predictive Model (EFPM). Then, we combine it with Copula-GARCH simulation model and the Mean-Conditional Value …

rank correlation analysis. The robustness of the comparison is ensured by a simulation study, which allows to address …