The authors develop indexes of leading economic indicators for New York State and New Jersey over the 1972-99 period. They find that the leading indexes convey useful information about the future course of economic activity in both states. The authors then construct separate indexes to forecast...

Manufacturing in the Fifth District: assessing its role during the great recession by Robert H. Schnorbus (p. 48-51)

"Change in the Fifth district: what can the 2010 census tell us?"

Article by Ann Macheras and Jack Blackwood, "Dimensions and drivers of metro area growth: how do Fifth district metros stack up?"

"The great recession and state unemployment insurance funds," by Richard E. Kaglic: pg 45-47

"Long-term industry and occupation outlook in the Fifth district"

Economic trends across the region, pg. 52-55 compiled by Sonya Ravindranath Waddell

Remarks at the Quarterly Regional Economic Press Briefing, New York City.

Remarks at the Dutchess County Regional Chamber of Commerce, Fishkill, New York.