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This paper uses a k-th order nonparametric Granger causality test to analyze whether firm-level, economic policy and … macroeconomic uncertainty indicators predict movements in real stock returns and their volatility. Linear Granger causality tests …, we employ a nonparametric causality methodology. We find that aside from economic policy, firm-level uncertainty …
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An examination of Brexit and its initial impact on the main stock markets in the Greater China Region (GCR) was conducted using augmented market models that integrate Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) and implied volatility (VIX). The results do not seem to align with research in the field that...
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The choice of instruments for mitigating economic volatility is a serious consideration for policymakers and important question in government and economics. Using a DSGE model with endogenous technology creation, we show that efficient financial markets are more effective than conventional...
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