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Business cycles reflect changes over time in the amount of trade between individuals. In this paper we show that … incorporating explicitly intra-temporal gains from trade between individuals into a macroeconomic model can provide new insight into … "gains from trade" approach can easily explain why changes in perceptions about the future (including "news" about the future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009424712
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009259710
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009268880
Business cycles reflect changes over time in the amount of trade between individuals. In this paper we show that … incorporating explicitly intra-temporal gains from trade between individuals into a macroeconomic model can provide new insight into … "gains from trade" approach can easily explain why changes in perceptions about the future (including "news" about the future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121592
Business cycles reflect changes over time in the amount of trade between individuals. In this paper we show that … incorporating explicitly intra-temporal gains from trade between individuals into a macroeconomic model can provide new insight into … "gains from trade" approach can easily explain why changes in perceptions about the future (including "news" about the future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461366
We study the cyclicality of public R&D in 28 OECD countries (1995-2017). While procyclical on average, public R&D reacts asymmetrically over different phases of the business cycle and becomes acyclical during recessions. It is also heterogeneous across countries: Innovation leaders and followers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012390728
macroeconomic stability or whether there is a trade-off …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014151193
The outcome of the referendum on the UK's membership of the European Union in June 2016 was largely unanticipated by politicians and pundits alike. Even after the "Leave" vote, the uncertainty surrounding the withdrawal process might have affected the UK economy. We draw on an official list of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013194430
We study the cyclicality of public R&D in 28 OECD countries (1995 - 2017). While procyclical on average, public R&D reacts asymmetrically over different phases of the business cycle and becomes acyclical during recessions. It is also heterogeneous across countries: Innovation leaders and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013342107
This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary regimes of the (quarterly) U.S. GDP. In this regard, the authors apply a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MF-MSVAR) model, and compare its in-sample and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443536