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This paper examines the profitability of a pairs trading strategy derived solely from historic price dynamics and contrarian principles. We find that the profitability of the self-financing strategy hinges on a cointegrated relationship, which Engle and Granger (1987) show also implies an...
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Hong, Torous, and Valkanov (2007) report that a number of U.S. industry returns can forecast the stock market using monthly data. Reexamining their results with an extended period, 1946-2013, and data, 48 industries, I find that only one to seven industries have significant predictive ability...
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