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We present a model of political selection in which voters elect a president from a set of candidates. We assume that some of the candidates are benevolent and that all voters prefer a benevolent president, i.e. a president who serves the public interest. Yet, political selection may fail in our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011344857
In this short note, we use data from different elections in the German state of North-Rhine Westphalia between 1975 and … 2010 to show that the social democrats generally profit from higher voter turnout at the expense of the conservatives. We … deal with the endogeneity of voter turnout by using election day rain as an instrumental variable. Our particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010501266
Do emotions affect the decision between change and the status quo? We exploit exogenous variation in emotions caused by rain and analyze data on more than 400 ballot propositions in Switzerland for the years 1958 to 2014 to address this question. The empirical tests are based on administrative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011580862
Do emotions affect the decision between change and the status quo? We exploit exogenous variation in emotions caused by rain and analyze data on more than 870,000 municipal vote outcomes in Switzerland to address this question. The empirical tests are based on administrative ballot outcomes and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012061871
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010198130
no impact on aggregate turnout. The point estimates are precise enough to rule out even moderately sized effects. By … regression discontinuity design with millions of observations suggests that advertising's impact on elections is largely due to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434475
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015067080
Using data from an experiment by Forsythe, Myerson, Rietz, and Weber (1993), designed for a different purpose, we test the "standard theory" that players have preferences only over their own mentary payoffs and that play will be in (evolutionary stable) equilibrium. In the experiment each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011284229
probability before the election (Maskin and Tirole's "feedback" case). In the three-period case, with two elections, the dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286492
The role of electoral incentives vs. selection is ideally analyzed in a setting where the same legislators are selected to decide on policies under different electoral rules and where voter preferences on policies can be precisely measured. This is the first paper to look at such a situation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012286323