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Inequality and voting in fragile countries : evidence from Mozambique
Bove, Margherita; Egger, Eva-Maria; Jones, Sam; … - 2024
economic inequality affects voting and other forms of political participation. This evidence is largely driven by advanced …. In line with prior theoretical expectations, we find a negative association between inequality and voting for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014481167
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Local electoral rewards from centralized social programs : are mayors getting the credit?
Rodríguez-Chamussy, Lourdes - 2015
This paper uses variation in the timing of the Mexican antipoverty program's introduction across municipalities to identify its impact on the share of votes for the local incumbent party. Evidence is found that voters reward the mayor's party for the central benefit to their constituencies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011289331
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A Bayesian networks approach for analyzing voting behavior
Calvin, Miguel; Rey del Castillo, Pilar - 2023
The problem of finding the factors influencing voting behavior is of crucial interest in political science and is … voting behavior at a previously unexplored level of disaggregation. The statistical relationships among the participation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444925
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Air pollution affects decision-making: evidence from the ballot box
Bellani, Luna; Ceolotto, Stefano; Elsner, Benjamin; … - 2021
significantly affects voting behavior. An increase in the concentration of PM10 by 10μg/m3 - around two within-county standard …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012620918
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Rain, emotions and voting for the status quo
Meier, Armando N.; Schmid, Lukas; Stutzer, Alois - 2019
Do emotions affect the decision between change and the status quo? We exploit exogenous variation in emotions caused by rain and analyze data on more than 870,000 municipal vote outcomes in Switzerland to address this question. The empirical tests are based on administrative ballot outcomes and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012061871
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A case for standard theory?
Kuzmics, Christoph; Rodenburger, Daniel - 2015
Using data from an experiment by Forsythe, Myerson, Rietz, and Weber (1993), designed for a different purpose, we test the "standard theory" that players have preferences only over their own mentary payoffs and that play will be in (evolutionary stable) equilibrium. In the experiment each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011284229
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Voter confirmation bias and electoral accountability
Lockwood, Ben - 2015 - First version: 8 February 2015, This version: 7 June 2015
This paper considers the implications of an important cognitive bias in information processing, confirmation bias, in a political agency setting. In the baseline two-period case where only the politician's actions are observable before the election, we show that when voters have this bias, it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286492
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Transparency in parliamentary voting
Benesch, Christine; Bütler, Monika; Hofer, Katharina E. - 2015
We use a change in the voting procedures of one of the two chambers of the Swiss parliament to explore how transparency … affects the voting behavior of its members. Until 2013, the Council of States (Ständerat) had voted by a show of hands. While …-consuming screening of online videos. In 2014, halfway through the legislative period, the chamber switched to electronic voting. Since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411279
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Gender gaps in political careers : evidence from competitive elections
Cipullo, Davide - 2021
two-stage elections, candidates are admitted to the second round of voting based on the outcome of the first round. I find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012514279
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Electoral cycles in macroeconomic forecasts
Cipullo, Davide; Reslow, André - 2021
This paper documents the existence of Political Forecast Cycles. In a theoretical model of political selection, we show that governments release overly optimistic GDP growth forecasts ahead of elections to increase the reelection probability. The bias arises from lack of commitment if voters are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012514965