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This paper analyses the impact of economic conditions on Portuguese municipal electoral outcomes. We use two extensive datasets to estimate an economic voting model which accounts for the possibility that different levels of government have different levels of responsibility for economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014177332
This paper analyses the impact of economic conditions on Portuguese local electoral outcomes. We use two extensive datasets to estimate an economic voting model which accounts for the possibility that different levels of government have different levels of responsibility for economic outcomes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014157000
Using thirty years of municipal elections in France, we show that election results affect the share of immigrants …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013498912
This paper develops a theoretical framework that makes predictions on (a) the conditions under which a populist party decides to run and the policy position it takes and (b) voters' response under different electoral systems. We test these predictions using data on Italian municipal elections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299798
This paper uses variation in the timing of the Mexican antipoverty program's introduction across municipalities to identify its impact on the share of votes for the local incumbent party. Evidence is found that voters reward the mayor's party for the central benefit to their constituencies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011289331
We analyze the impact of the quality of candidates running for a mayor position on turnout using a large data set on Italian municipal elections held from 1993 to 2011. We firstly estimate a municipal fixed effects model and show that an increase in the average quality of candidates competing at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344923
state tier. This e ffect only materializes in the election year which suggests that mayors under the new electoral rule put … more e ffort into grant applications for highly visible infrastructure projects in order to increase their re-election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010485272
A standard finding in the literature on political agency is that voters punish incumbents who raise taxes. Typically, only the reaction of a representative voter is considered, with the notion that all voters dislike high taxes because the revenue is, at least on the margin, spent on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446608
The opportunistic political cycle's theories argued that the incumbent raises the visible expenses in the election time …-buying action. The paper tests the argument by using Indonesia local election and grants spending data from 2008 to 2013. Through … treating the endogeneity of incumbency, the analysis results suggest that when the incumbent is participating in the election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896626
We examine whether state-level incumbents discriminate in the allocation of transfers in favour of local governments controlled by co-partisans, and whether the electoral prospects of local incumbents improve when they are aligned with the state incumbent. Using a new database covering around...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979131