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Electricity markets feature a non-storable underlying, which implies the break down of traditional cash-and-carry arguments as well as the well-known spot-forward relationship. We introduce the notion of information premium to describe the influence of future information - such as planned power...
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The recent price coupling of many European electricity markets has triggered a fundamental change in the interaction of day-ahead prices, challenging additionally the modeling of the joint behavior of prices in interconnected markets. In this paper we propose a regime-switching AR-GARCH copula...
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Due to the non-storability of electricity and the resulting lack of arbitrage-based arguments to price electricity forward contracts, these exhibit a significant time-varying risk premium. Using EEX data during the introduction of Emission certificates and the German "Atom Moratorium" we show...
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