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for testing cointegration and VECM Granger causality test has been employed for causality analysis. ARDL test suggests …. Though there is no cointegration when electricity consumption becomes dependent variable and other variables are independent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011254
Energy and especially electricity consumption is a variable that can be also considered as the indication of the social development as far as economic growth is concerned. Energy, as the input of the industry and other production branches, is an indication for the production increase; and also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053718
The restructuring and deregulation of global electricity markets has brought about fundamental changes in the behaviour of wholesale spot prices. In turn, this has fostered a small but increasing volume of literature aimed at modelling and providing best-practice forecasts of electricity prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012722771
concerned variables. Johansen cointegration test is then employed to determine the long run relationships between the variables …. The Johansen cointegration test results provide evidence suggesting the existence of long run associations between the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943401
The spot price of electricity is highly skewed and heavy-tailed, as a result of the interaction of different variables that affect that market. Such characteristics impact the design of power plants with different technologies, fuel prices, and energy demand. This paper introduces the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868700
This paper investigates the fractal behaviour of the electric spot prices traded in some European markets. Whereas the analysis leads to exclude the presence of multifractality, we provide evidence supporting the conclusion that the multifractional Brownian motion can represent a good candidate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975888
After analyzing the characteristics and pricing models on the Russian wholesale electricity market, some important features for econometric modeling are introduced. This paper suggests econometric forecasting models developed to predict daily and hourly electricity prices on the day-ahead market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978373
Many Southeast European countries are currently undergoing a process of liberalization of electric power markets. The paper analyses day-ahead price dynamics on some of these new markets and in Germany as a benchmark of a completely decentralized Western European market. To that end, several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927766
The New Zealand government introduced strict containment measures in response to the Covid-19 virus. We assess the impact of containment measures on wholesale electricity demand using the augmented auto-regressive-moving-average model. The Alert Level-4 lockdown had the largest, significant and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013241427
This paper applies time series methodologies to examine the causal relationship among electricity demand, real per capita GDP and total labor force for Italy from 1970 to 2009. After a brief introduction, a survey of the economic literature on this issue is reported, before discussing the data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034041