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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012427666
We propose a mean-reverting electricity spot price model of arithmetic jump-diffusion type yielding positive prices. Based on this approach, we derive the corresponding forward and futures price representations. We further discuss different choices for the stochastic mean level process and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855479
In this article we derive risk-neutral option price formulas for both plain-vanilla and exotic electricity futures derivatives on the basis of diverse arithmetic multi-factor Ornstein-Uhlenbeck spot price models admitting seasonality, while – in order to avoid “information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065333
In this paper, we derive optimal hedging strategies for options in electricity futures markets. Optimality is measured in terms of minimal variance and the associated minimal variance hedging portfolios are obtained by a stochastic maximum principle. Our explicit results are particularly useful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232821
In this paper, we present an innovative electricity spot price model, wherein the prices explicitly depend on outdoor temperature. The proposed arithmetic multi-factor approach captures numerous stylized facts of empirical electricity price behavior like seasonal variations, time-dependent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255588
In this paper, we present an arithmetic electricity spot price model based on generalized Langevin equations. In this setup, we investigate electricity forward pricing under future information modeled by initially enlarged filtrations. Hence, our model not only accounts for memory effects via...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013297465