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that, in this case, adding stochastic volatility can further improve the forecasting performance of a single-factor BVAR …
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Modeling the price risk of CO2 certificates is one important aspect of integral corporate risk management related to emissions trading. The paper presents a risk model which may be the basis for evaluating the risk of emission certificate prices. We assume that the certificate price is...
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This paper proposes two dimension-reduction and forecasting quantile methods (i.e., the quantile group lasso and the …
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