Stevenson, Max; Peat, Maurice - In: Australian Journal of Labour Economics (AJLE) 4, 1, pp. 41-55
Cyclical asymmetry has been recognized as a non-linear phenomenon in recent studies examining unemployment rate time … forecasting unemployment rates in mind, it seems intuitive that models should reflect this change in structure by incorporating …. Accordingly, this paper evaluates the point forecasts from models of the monthly, aggregate Australian unemployment rate series …