Showing 1 - 10 of 22,624
In this paper, a set of neural network (NN) models is developed to compute short-term forecasts of regional employment … compares two NN methodologies. First, it uses NNs to forecast regional employment in both the former West and East Germany …. Each model implemented computes single estimates of employment growth rates for each German district, with a 2-year …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348710
In this paper we evaluate the forecasting performance of employment expectations for employment growth in 15 European … outperforms common benchmark models. It is therefore a powerful tool for generating more accurate employment forecasts. We observe … the best results for one quarter ahead predictions that are primarily the aim of the survey question. However, employment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010361708
In this paper we evaluate the forecasting performance of employment expectations for employment growth in 15 European … outperforms common benchmark models. It is therefore a powerful tool for generating more accurate employment forecasts. We observe … the best results for one quarter ahead predictions that are primarily the aim of the survey question. However, employment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387721
difficulties. This study explores potential future employment dynamics across European industries and employment groups for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012665259
We show that high-frequency private payroll microdata can help forecast labor market conditions. Payroll employment is … that complement existing measures. In particular, we develop a set of weekly aggregate employment indexes from 2000 to 2017 …, which allows us to measure employment at a higher frequency than is currently possible. The extensive coverage of the ADP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011803794
We show that Google search activity on relevant terms is a strong out-of-sample predictor for future employment growth …-level employment growth using state-level specific search activity. Encompassing tests indicate that when the Google Trends panel is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848536
We consider whether disaggregated data enhances the efficiency of aggregate employment forecasts. We find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014063591
develop a suite of models to provide a more timely estimate (nowcast) of euro area quarterly employment growth based on a … timely assessment of employment developments with unemployment rates and sentiment indicators containing most of the relevant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354741
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011694859
distribution of transition probabilities from full employment to part employment, unemployment and economically unregistered …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008615020