Altig, David; Barrero, Jose Maria; Bloom, Nicholas; … - 2019
probability distributions over own-firm outcomes at a one-year lookahead horizon. Our Survey of Business Uncertainty (SBU) began … full range of firm sizes. We use SBU data to measure expected future outcomes for the growth of sales, employment, and … investment for each firm and the uncertainty surrounding those expectations. Mean expectations are highly predictive of realized …