Recent field evidence suggests a positive link between overconfidence and innovative activities. In this paper we argue … that the connection between overconfidence and innovation is more complex than the previous literature suggests. In … particular, we show theoretically and experimentally that different forms of overconfidence may have opposing effects on …

We present a theory of entrepreneurial behavior that explores the relationship between overconfidence and successful … firm outcomes, such as acquisition or IPO. In our model, increasing overconfidence produces two conflicting effects on the … this conflict, a kinked or U-shaped relationship may exist between overconfidence and positive outcomes. Furthermore, our …

Recent field evidence suggests a positive link between overconfidence and innovative activities. In this paper we argue … that the connection between overconfidence and innovation is more complex than the previous literature suggests. In … particular, we show theoretically and experimentally that different forms of overconfidence may have opposing effects on …

entrepreneurs, managers and employees on a comprehensive set of measures of optimism and overconfidence (n = 2,058). The results … when bad events occur. For incentivized measures of overconfidence we find no difference between entrepreneurs and managers … than successful managers. We conclude that optimism and overconfidence are indeed characteristics of entrepreneurs, but …