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Beliefs are intuitive if they rely on associative memory, which can be described as a network of associations between events. A belief-theoretic characterization of the model is provided, its uniqueness properties are established, and the intersection with the Bayesian model is characterized....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012845406
An agent wants to derive her belief over outcomes based on past observations collected in her database (memory). There is well establish evidence in the psychology and marketing literature that agents consistently fail (or choose not) to process all available information. An agent might be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010403098
This paper presents a new decision theory for modelling choice under risk. The new theory is a two-parameter generalization of expected utility theory. The proposed theory assumes that a decision maker: 1) behaves as if maximizing expected utility; but 2) may experience disappointment (elation)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046184
For choice with deterministic consequences, the standard rationality hypothesis is ordinality, i.e., maximization of a weak preference ordering. For choice under risk (resp. uncertainty), preferences are assumed to be represented by the objectively (resp. subjectively) expected value of a von...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025530
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015078774
In his paper Emotion and reasoning in human decision-making (Economics Discussion Papers, No 2019-8) Edmund Rolls points out that multiple and independent types of reinforcement exist in the human brain, and that they cannot be reduced to a common currency. The present commentary introduces...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012035104
Two systems in the brain that are involved in emotional and economic decision-making are described. The first is an evolutionarily old emotion-based system that operates on rewards defined by the genes such as food, warmth, social reputation, and having children. Such decisions are often based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012105103
Two systems in the brain that are involved in emotional and economic decision-making are described. The first is an evolutionarily old emotion-based system that operates on rewards defined by the genes such as food, warmth, social reputation, and having children. Such decisions are often based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964229
developed a theoretical framework and conducted an online experiment involving more than 3,000 participants. Through a framed … risk elicitation task, the experiment explored how individuals respond to the trade-off between personal infection risk and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353893
Preference reversals occur when different (but formally equivalent) elicitation methods reveal conflicting preferences over two alternatives. This paper shows that when people have fuzzy preferences i.e. when they choose in a probabilistic manner, their observed decisions can generate systematic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723327